Connect with us

Roger Stone's Blog

THE GROWING HISPANIC REALIGNMENT

Just as African-American voters realigned with Democrats during the Great Depression, the midterms proved a new and similar seismic shift is taking place in America among Hispanic voters.

Published

on

Originally published on by new Substack. Subscribe here to get more articles like this!

Just as African-American voters realigned with Democrats during the Great Depression, the midterms proved a new and similar seismic shift is taking place in America among Hispanic voters. This time, Republicans are the beneficiaries.

Smart conservative stalwarts like the late Congressman Jack Kemp predicted this for many years. President George H.W. Bush’s Housing and Urban Development Secretary, Kemp strongly believed Hispanic Republicans would someday drive an American Renaissance. As disappointing as the 2022 elections were for the GOP, the results proved that time has come.

Because of the Republican Party’s historic position as the anti-slavery party and Abraham Lincoln’s role in the Emancipation Proclamation, African-American voters were reliably Republican after the Civil War and up until the Great Depression.

Although they were prevented from voting in the South through intimidation, violence, literacy tests, and poll taxes, African-Americans in the industrial Northeast and Midwest essentially allowed Republicans to dominate the White House from 1861 until 1932, with few interruptions.In fact the GOP would only lose the White House twice in three times in this period- twice to Grover Cleveland  in 1884 and 1892 and again to Woodrow Wilson in 1912 when the Republican Party was split and Theodore Roosevelt bolted the GOP to lead the Bull Moose Party.

 Even in 1932, more Blacks voted for Herbert Hoover than for Franklin Delano Roosevelt. The social welfare programs of the New Deal under FDR, later cemented into place by the Great Society and Civil Rights Programs of President Lyndon Johnson, caused a dramatic shift in alliances. African-Americans became the most reliably Democrat voting segment.

The failure by Hoover and the Republicans to advance any program for economic recovery was a major historic blunder. By 1964, LBJ, who as Senate Majority Leader had sabotaged various open-voting, fair housing and civil rights efforts, was able to erase his history as a segregationist and recast himself as the “Civil Rights President.” 

Although President Donald Trump scored historic gains among Black voters, the overwhelming majority of African-Americans continue to vote overwhelmingly Democrat. I am convinced that, had the President’s reelection campaign done more to promote awareness of Trump’s historic reforms in our criminal justice system through the use of both urban and gospel radio, the President could have done even better among these voters. I believe the 1994 Crime Bill was racist in the harsh, mandatory penalties the law provided for those with no previous criminal record and that this law has fallen disproportionately on poor and Black people. It was President Donald Trump who pushed and passed both the First Step Act and the Second Chance Act. Unfortunately, more African-American voters did not know this in 2020. 

Quite to the contrary, Hispanic voters have moved significantly to the right. In the most recent midterm elections, the Democrats’ margins among Hispanics, a traditionally Democrat voter group, was cut in half to just D+21%, the best performance ever among Hispanics for the Republicans in a national election.

According to an AP Votecast exit poll, the Democrat margin may have been an even narrower D+17.

In Arizona for example, exit polling showed Republican candidate Kari Lake scoring a 47% share of the state’s Hispanic vote—a 10% improvement over President Trump’s share of the vote in 2020. At the same time, Republican U.S. Senate candidate Blake Masters won 40% of Arizona Hispanics (a 10% improvement over the 2018 Republican U.S. Senate candidate there).

In Florida, the surge or Hispanic voters was a tidal wave. Republican Governor Ron DeSantis was reelected with 58% of Florida Hispanics while U.S. Senator Marco Rubio was reelected with 56% of the Hispanic vote. Republicans even won a majority in 70% Hispanic Miami-Dade County, long a Democrat stronghold. DeSantis and Rubio won not only among traditionally Republican Cuban-Americans but also among Puerto Ricans (with DeSantis winning 56% of the vote and Rubio winning 54%). Among non-Cuban or Puerto Rican Hispanics, mostly Mexican and Colombian-Americans, both Republicans won about 50% of the vote. This is ground-breaking.

In Georgia, Republican Governor Brian Kemp won 43% of the Hispanic vote to Stacey Abrams 55%, a marked improvement given Abrams’ 25 point advantage among Hispanic in 2018. Meanwhile, Republican U.S. Senate candidate Herschel Walker won 39% of Hispanic voters in November—an improvement over defeated U.S. Senator Kelly Loeffler’s 36% two years ago.

Republicans also made progress among Hispanics in Texas. As Giancarlo Sopo, a respected authority on Hispanic voting trends and the Republican Party, noted, “Republicans won one out of three congressional seats in the Rio Grande Valley and there are promising signs for the GOP with South Texas Latinos. In TX-15, Monica De La Cruz impressively flipped a historically blue Democrat district. She won an R+1 district by nine points and improved upon the GOP’s 2020 margins in 93% Hispanic Hidalgo County by 5 points. In TX-28, Cassy Garcia was a strong candidate who had the best performance ever for a GOP congressional candidate in TX-28, despite her Democratic opponent consistently being given a major platform on conservative media and even help from some Texas Republicans. In TX-34, Mayra Flores delivered a strong performance, cutting down the Democrats’ margins in half in a Biden +16 district. Flores and Garcia should remain key figures in the GOP’s Hispanic outreach. Republicans also delivered strong performances in several local races.”

One of the keys to this Republican surge among Hispanic voters was more skillful and adept use of Spanish-language media. One of the classic mistakes Republicans have made in their failure to make more significant inroads among African-American voters has been their failure to utilize both urban and gospel radio and other targeted advertising. 

In 2020, the Trump reelection campaign had “Trump-Pence” billboards from South Florida to the Panhandle but spent not a farthing on Spanish-language radio or cable advertising. They still scored a historic 37% of Florida’s Hispanic vote. This year, Republican candidates did not make this mistake.

In 2022, a survey of the spending reports by Republican candidates in Florida, Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, and even New York, showed that Republican candidates were finally making serious strategic investments in highly targeted and effective Spanish-language media including radio cable and digitally. It is important to note that while Nevada Republicans also made gains among Hispanic voters, those gains were more modest. A review of Republican campaign spending in the Silver State showed no concerted effort to utilize Spanish-language media.

There is little chance national Democrats will abandon the underlying “woke” philosophy which, based on all polling, is fundamentally anathema to Hispanic voters. If Republicans continue adept use of highly effective and targeted Spanish-language media, the realignment of Hispanics into the Republican base will continue.

In 2024, Hispanic voters may become a fundamental element to a permanent political realignment and Republican majority. In no small way, Hispanic voters may save America.

Advertisement

Trending News

  • 4d toto macau
  • bandar togel
  • bo togel
  • bo togel
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • dingdong togel
  • bandar togel online terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • agen togel online terpercaya
  • bandar togel terbaik dan terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • situs judi togel online
  • situs agen togel terpercaya
  • situs togel
  • daftar bandar togel online terpercaya
  • situs agen togel resmi
  • daftar bandar togel online terpercaya
  • daftar bandar togel online
  • situs agen togel terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • agen togel resmi di indonesia
  • situs agen judi togel
  • situs togel
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • situs slot
  • bo togel online terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel lengkap terbesar
  • togel online
  • bo togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • aftar situs slot online
  • agen judi togel online
  • nama situs togel terpercaya
  • judi slot online
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • bandar togel online
  • situs togel online terpercaya
  • situs judi togel resmi
  • situs judi togel online
  • bandar togel china resmi
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • situs bandar togel toto online
  • situs judi togel 4d resmi
  • bandar togel hadiah 4d 10 juta
  • situs togel terbaik dan terpercaya
  • agen togel resmi di indonesia
  • bandar togel toto hongkong
  • bo togel bonus new member terbesar
  • situs slot deposit pulsa tanpa potongan
  • bo togel resmi di indonesia
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • situs judi togel online
  • agen bandar togel toto online
  • bandar lotre togel online
  • situs judi slot terbaik
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • bandar togel cambodia resmi
  • situs bo togel resmi
  • bandar togel hadiah 4d 10 juta terpercaya
  • bandar togel online terpercaya
  • agen bandar togel online
  • bo slot online terbaik
  • bandar togel online terbesar
  • bandar togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya resmi
  • bandar togel terpercaya dan resmi
  • situs togel resmi dan terpercaya
  • situs bandar lotre togel
  • keluaran togel cambodia
  • situs togel online
  • situs agen togel online
  • bandar judi togel online
  • agen bandar togel online
  • situs togel terbaik
  • agen togel online terbesar
  • situs togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel terbesar
  • situs judi slot
  • agen togel
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel
  • situs slot
  • bandar togel
  • slot resmi
  • Bandar Judi Togel Hari Ini Online24Jam Terpercaya 2022
  • bo togel
  • toto togel
  • togel deposit pulsa
  • togel hongkong
  • togel online
  • situs togel
  • situs bandar togel online terpercaya
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • situs togel
  • nama toto togel
  • togel online
  • togel online
  • situs togel
  • agen togel resmi
  • agen togel
  • situs togel
  • bandar togel
  • bandar togel
  • togel online
  • asia togel
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • toto togel
  • togel online
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel
  • daftar togel
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel
  • situs togel online
  • situs togel
  • bandar togel
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • situs judi togel
  • situs togel
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • bo togel
  • agen togel
  • toto togel
  • bo togel
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • situs bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • 5 bandar togel terpercaya
  • bo togel resmi
  • agen togel
  • situs togel online
  • situs togel resmi
  • daftar bandar togel
  • situs agen togel resmi
  • 4d toto macau
  • bandar togel
  • bo togel
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • dingdong togel
  • bandar togel online terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • agen togel online terpercaya
  • bandar togel terbaik dan terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • situs judi togel online
  • situs agen togel terpercaya
  • situs togel
  • daftar bandar togel online terpercaya
  • situs agen togel resmi
  • daftar bandar togel online terpercaya
  • daftar bandar togel online
  • situs agen togel terpercaya
  • situs agen togel online
  • agen togel resmi di indonesia
  • situs agen judi togel
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • situs slot
  • bo togel online terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel lengkap terbesar
  • togel online
  • bo togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • aftar situs slot online
  • agen judi togel online
  • nama situs togel terpercaya
  • judi slot online
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel online terpercaya
  • situs judi togel resmi
  • situs judi togel online
  • bandar togel china resmi
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • situs bandar togel toto online
  • situs judi togel 4d resmi
  • bandar togel hadiah 4d 10 juta
  • situs bandar togel
  • agen togel resmi di indonesia
  • bandar togel toto hongkong
  • bo togel bonus new member terbesar
  • situs slot deposit pulsa tanpa potongan
  • bo togel resmi di indonesia
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • situs judi togel online
  • agen bandar togel toto online
  • bandar lotre togel online
  • situs judi slot terbaik
  • situs togel resmi toto
  • bandar togel cambodia resmi
  • situs bo togel resmi
  • bandar togel hadiah 4d 10 juta terpercaya
  • agen bandar darat togel
  • agen bandar togel online
  • bo slot online terbaik
  • bandar togel online terbesar
  • bandar togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya resmi
  • bandar togel terpercaya dan resmi
  • situs togel resmi dan terpercaya
  • situs bandar lotre togel
  • togel online
  • situs togel online
  • situs agen togel online
  • bandar judi togel online
  • agen bandar togel online
  • situs togel resmi
  • agen togel online terbesar
  • situs togel terpercaya dan terbesar
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel hadiah 4d 10 juta
  • situs judi slot
  • agen togel
  • daftar bandar togel terbesar dan terpercaya
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel
  • situs slot
  • bandar togel
  • slot resmi
  • Bandar Judi Togel Hari Ini Online24Jam Terpercaya 2022
  • bo togel
  • toto togel
  • togel deposit pulsa
  • togel hongkong
  • togel online
  • situs togel
  • situs bandar togel online terpercaya
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • situs togel
  • nama toto togel
  • togel online
  • togel online
  • situs togel
  • agen togel resmi
  • agen togel
  • situs togel
  • bandar togel
  • bandar togel
  • togel online
  • asia togel
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • toto togel
  • togel online
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel
  • daftar togel
  • bandar togel
  • agen togel
  • situs togel online
  • situs togel
  • bandar togel
  • bandar togel
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • situs judi togel
  • situs togel
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel
  • bo togel
  • bo togel
  • toto togel
  • bo togel
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • situs bandar togel
  • agen togel terpercaya
  • bo togel resmi
  • situs togel online
  • situs togel resmi
  • daftar bandar togel
  • situs agen judi togel
  • agen bandar togel
  • 5 bandar togel terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • 10 situs togel terpercaya
  • situs agen togel resmi
  • situs agen togel resmi
  • bo togel online
  • situs togel
  • situs togel
  • situs agen togel
  • situs togel online
  • agen togel online
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • toto togel
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • 5 bandar togel terpercaya
  • agen bandar togel resmi
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • bo toto togel
  • situs resmi pasang togel
  • situs togel online
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • agen togel
  • situs judi togel online
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • situs togel
  • situs bo togel
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • agen togel resmi
  • bandar togel terpercaya
  • daftar togel via dana
  • situs togel terpercaya
  • situs togel resmi
  • situs togel terpercaya
    situs togel agen togel agen togel toto situs togel online terpercaya situs agen togel resmi bandar togel terpercaya togel online situs togel terbaik situs togel 5 bandar togel terpercaya situs togel online situs togel online agen bandar togel situs togel terbesar situs togel online situs togel terpercaya agen togel resmi bandar togel terpercaya situs togel deposit pulsa daftar situs togel terpercaya keluaran semua togel hari ini situs togel resmi toto situs judi togel online bo togel terpercaya agen togel online agen togel terpercaya bandar togel terpercaya bo togel hadiah terbesar agen bandar togel bandar togel hadiah 2d 100rb bandar togel resmi situs resmi pasang togel 10 situs togel terpercaya agen togel terpercaya agen togel agen togel resmi bandar togel online 10 situs togel terpercaya bandar togel terpercaya bandar togel resmi agen togel resmi bandar togel online agen togel singapore bandar togel terpercaya agen togel terpercaya situs agen togel online situs togel agen togel bandar judi togel bandar togel terpercaya situs agen togel terpercaya situs agen togel resmi situs agen togel terpercaya bo togel terpercaya situs agen togel terpercaya situs togel online daftar situs togel terpercaya situs bandar togel online situs bandar togel resmi situs agen togel resmi situs togel terbesar situs agen togel online situs togel online terpercaya agen togel online resmi situs agen togel online agen bandar togel terpercaya situs judi togel online bo togel hadiah 2d 100rb situs agen togel terpercaya situs agen togel online situs bo togel hadiah terbesar situs agen judi togel situs togel terpercaya situs agen togel resmi agen togel online 10 situs togel terpercaya situs togel deposit pulsa situs resmi pasang togel daftar togel toto online agen togel online 10 situs togel terpercaya bo togel terpercaya daftar situs togel terbaik agen toto togel bandar togel terpercaya bandar togel terpercaya bandar togel terpercaya situs agen judi togel situs togel online terpercaya bandar togel terpercaya agen judi togel online situs togel online terpercaya 5 bandar togel terpercaya 10 situs togel terpercaya bo togel terpercaya situs togel deposit pulsa bandar togel online bo togel bolak balik agen togel resmi situs togel online24jam terpercaya situs agen togel terbesar situs agen togel terpercaya bandar togel online terpercaya bandar togel online terpercaya togel toto macau situs togel resmi bo togel via dana agen togel singapore bandar judi togel online bandar togel terpercaya bandar togel online bandar togel resmi bandar darat togel